Public Kempax report

Daily After Market report · 2026-08-13

Kempax Research

Loop report · 2026-08-13

Daily After-Market Report — Thursday, August 13, 2026

Summary

US stocks closed at a record high for a second consecutive session Thursday, as July wholesale prices came in flat +0.0% vs +0.2% expected, headline level and weekly jobless claims pointed to a stable labor market — extending Wednesday's CPI relief — but the advance was tech-led, narrow, and arrived on modest volume. Thursday's closes: $SPX 7798.99 +0.65%, record close per news , $NASDAQ:QQQ 732.07 +1.16% , $NYSE:DIA 537.91 +0.14% , $IWM 303.50 +0.26% . Technology and communication services led $NYSE:XLK +1.01%, $NYSE:XLC +2.07% , materials was the only sector lower $NYSE:XLB −0.51% , and energy stalled $NYSE:XLE +0.05% after a +6.2% week as crude retreated on the IEA OPEC August supply-demand reports. Structure turned constructive-with-caution: a fresh $SPY breakout above 776.85 the August 5 swing high fired the first active signals of the week, but RSI 14 at 76.79 is overbought for a second straight day and $SPY volume ran 28% below its 20-day average.

Caveats: exact PPI figures are unverified headline-level evidence only ; no after-hours price moves were verified; $NASDAQ:QQQ and $NYSE:DIA are recorded proxies for the composite and Dow index series. This report is informational only and is not financial advice.

Benchmark Price Action

Key observations:

  • $SPY closed 777.88 +0.70% — opened 774.87, tagged 779.37, closed 777.88 in the upper third; window +3.83% July 13 base with a breakout above 776.85 at the close. RSI 14 76.79 — overbought for a second day.
  • $NASDAQ:QQQ closed 732.07 +1.16% — the day's strongest benchmark: opened 725.15, closed 732.07 near its high 733.96, 81% of range ; window +2.86% annualized ≈33.6%, Sharpe 1.44 — closing the gap on the broad market after the July drawdown −8.05% max drawdown .
  • $NYSE:DIA closed 537.91 +0.14% — mid-range after opening 537.43; window +2.56% but the only benchmark red on the week −0.32% since August 7 .
  • $IWM closed 303.50 +0.26% — opened 304.04 and faded to close in the lower third; window +3.42%, small caps weakest into the close.
  • $NYSE:XLE closed 61.06 +0.05% — energy keeps the window lead at +7.61% 100 → 107.61 rebased though momentum stalled as crude retreated on the IEA OPEC August reports.

Evidence: daily close series for $SPY, $NASDAQ:QQQ, $NYSE:DIA, $IWM, $NYSE:XLE July 13 – August 13, 2026 embedded in the chart above; recorded closes, ranges, and volumes verified for the August 13 session.

Sector Rotation

Read: Thursday was a rotation day inside the easing-inflation advance — money moved into communication services and technology while materials was the only sector down and energy stalled after its +6.2% week as crude retreated on the IEA OPEC August supply-demand reports demand weakening, inventories surging . Defensive and rate-sensitive groups firmed $NYSE:XLP +1.08%, $NYSE:XLRE +1.42% . The week's shape is narrow: energy's +6.19% leadership dominates, while discretionary $NYSE:XLY −1.18% and materials $NYSE:XLB −1.04% are the laggards.

Evidence: recorded sector ETF closes August 13 and weekly bases August 7 for the table above; d d and weekly changes computed from recorded closes.

Risk Factors and Caveats

  • PPI is the catalyst, but the print is headline-level only. Coverage says July wholesale prices were flat +0.0% vs +0.2% expected ; core and year-over-year figures are unverified CNBC, Invezz, BLS release . Jobless claims rose moderately with the labor market described as stable Reuters . The durability of the record close rests on headline-level easing-inflation evidence.
  • Overbought at a record high. $SPY RSI 14 76.79 — a second consecutive overbought day 75.11 Wednesday — at a new record close on volume 28% below the 20-day average 34.9M vs 48.5M shares . A stretched tape with pullback risk; the record day was not a high-conviction one.
  • Fresh breakout unconfirmed. $SPY closed above 776.85 August 5 swing high with a high of 779.37 — the first active breakout trigger of the week — but no higher-high print yet; follow-through above 779.37 is needed to validate.
  • Narrow leadership. The record is tech-led: $NYSE:DIA is down on the week −0.32% and discretionary −1.18%; materials is the only sector down on the day. Not a broad-based advance.
  • Regime risk unresolved. Fed-speech tone for August 13 is unverified in a hawkish-lean leadership regime; the rate-hike-cycle question from the weak July jobs report August 7 remains open — September hike odds had tumbled after that miss and the CPI PPI relief is consistent with "on hold," but the direction is not settled.
  • Coverage limits this run: news evidence is title headline-level article bodies not readable ; no single-stock movers verified; no verified after-hours price moves only aggregate mover listings ; the Nasdaq Composite and Dow index series were unavailable — $NASDAQ:QQQ and $NYSE:DIA are recorded proxies.

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Report details

Field Value --- --- Prepared August 13, 2026 Thursday evening , covering the August 13 US close Coverage US equity market — benchmark indices, sector rotation, PPI catalyst, technical signals, market structure, risk metrics Data window July 13 – August 13, 2026 daily; sectors August 7 – 13 ; levels as of the August 13 close Key benchmarks $SPX, $SPY, $NASDAQ:QQQ, $NYSE:DIA, $IWM; sectors $NYSE:XLK, $NYSE:XLE, $NYSE:XLF, $NYSE:XLY, $NYSE:XLB, $NYSE:XLC, $NYSE:XLRE, $NYSE:XLP, $NYSE:XLU, $NYSE:XLV, $NYSE:XLI Loop loop-bd10496e-1ccb-49a8-bef4-e0db49293bab Daily After Market report Run looprun-ab0889ec-ecda-4356-9e08-592fc9f2e016 Session loopsession-d1c8ee12-9cfb-41da-98ee-3a8238ff0031 Status Final — informational only, not financial advice

Sources

  • Market data: recorded daily price history open high low close volume for the benchmarks and sectors above, fetched after the August 13 close; data freshness verified latest bars dated 2026-08-13 .
  • Technical indicators: SMA10 SMA20 SMA50, EMA12 EMA26, MACD, RSI 14 , ATR 14 , realized volatility, market-structure swing range analysis, signal scan, and risk metrics; performance review for $NASDAQ:QQQ vs $SPY July 13 – August 13 .
  • News leads headline-level unless noted : Yahoo Finance — S&P 500 record high, Nasdaq, Dow, inflation live blog, Aug 13 ; TheStreet — stock market today, Aug 13; CNBC — wholesale prices flat in July; Invezz — US PPI unchanged in July; Reuters — jobless claims moderate increase, stable labor market; TradingPedia — crude futures retreat as demand weakens, inventories surge; UPI — IEA OPEC August oil market report; XTB — US PPI, jobless claims and Fed speeches.
  • All figures are computed from the market data embedded in this report; chart blocks embed the same underlying series.

This report is informational only and does not constitute financial advice. All levels reflect closing prices as of Thursday, August 13, 2026 — the most recently completed US session at report time. $NASDAQ:QQQ and $NYSE:DIA are used as recorded proxies for the Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average, whose index series were unavailable. Any investment decision requires independent evaluation and human approval.

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