Public Kempax report

Daily premarket research and report · 2026-08-11

Kempax Research

Loop report · 2026-08-11

Premarket Report — Tuesday, August 11, 2026

As of: Monday, August 10, 2026 daily close — all market levels through August 10 unless noted. Premarket context for Tuesday, August 11 headline evidence captured 12:21 UTC . Focus: The S&P 500 stalled just below its record high, energy's oil-driven leadership versus tech's continued lag, and today's oil July CPI focus.

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Summary

U.S. equities enter Tuesday's session consolidating just below record territory after a flat Monday. The S&P 500 $SPY closed at 773.03 −0.03% on the day, day range 771.62–775.05 , still 0.5% below the 776.85 record intraday high printed on August 5, inside the same tight 6.18% range 729.10–776.85 that has held all week — trend neutral, momentum positive, and no confirmed breakout M1 M2 . The relative-strength new-high signal remains the only active trigger in the monitored set M5 . Monday's candle opened with a small down gap −0.09% and closed flat — the tape is coiling under resistance rather than extending M2 .

Energy is the leadership theme; tech lags again. The energy sector $XLE jumped +4.66% Monday — the strongest sector move of the day — and is now +13.96% over the Jul 1–Aug 10 window on the oil Strait of Hormuz narrative; oil prices are reported "hold ing steady after jumping 5%" with Asian shares mixed M7 W17 . Technology was Monday's laggard $XLK −0.88% , and the Nasdaq-100 $QQQ −0.30% is still the only major proxy below its July 1 level −0.6% on the window despite its MACD turning positive — tech participation remains the swing factor for any index breakout M3 M8 .

Today's focus is oil and CPI. Recorded premarket coverage describes index futures as mixed , with oil prices and the July CPI report in focus W9 W3 . The last inflation print was a disinflationary June: −0.4% SA +3.5% YoY headline, core 0.0% SA +2.6% YoY BLS, released July 14 ; the July release date is not yet verified in recorded evidence W13 . No stress signals are present: $SPY RSI 14 at 66.78 eased from 69.55 and realized volatility 13.83% annualized M1 .

Levels to watch: resistance at 776.85 record, 1 touch ; swing support at 738.51 3 touches, high strength ; then 729.10 window low M2 .

Stance: constructive while $SPY holds 738.51; a sustained close above 776.85 is required to confirm a fresh leg, and durable technology participation is the swing factor for index upside.

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Market structure — $SPY stalled below the record

After the August 3–4 surge 757.67 → 771.33 , the record intraday print of 776.85 on August 5, and the two-day pause that followed, Monday's session closed flat at 773.03 on a small down gap −0.09% — the tape is coiling just under resistance, with the relative-strength new-high signal still active but no confirmed breakout M1 M2 M5 .

Structure read M2 : range 729.10–776.85 6.18% width, tight — no base pattern ; no breakout or breakdown detected; last candle Aug 10 gapped down −0.09% with no fresh up leg confirmed; momentum positive, up trendline slope 1.2955 , ATR14 8.88.

Sector spotlight — the widest split of the day

Key levels — $SPY

Premarket context headline evidence, Aug 11

Futures described as mixed with oil and CPI in focus MarketFramework, Aug 11 W9 ; Investopedia's "5 Things to Know" brief for Tuesday, Aug 11 W3 ; WSJ, TheStreet and Reuters live coverage pages for Aug 11 W1 W4 W5 . No numeric futures levels were captured — direction is reported as mixed, not confirmed higher or lower.
Oil Hormuz: "Oil prices hold steady after jumping 5% while Asian shares are mixed" US News, Aug 11 W17 ; oil rising as traders assess US–Iran talks on a Strait of Hormuz deal Euronews, Aug 10 W7 ; uncertainty over reopening the Strait Reuters, Aug 9 W8 . TradingKey's pre-market note headlines oil, Nvidia Intel and CPI W12 .
CPI inflation: July CPI is flagged as this week's catalyst; the exact release date is not verified in recorded evidence standard schedule suggests mid-August . Confirmed latest print BLS : June CPI −0.4% SA +3.5% YoY; core 0.0% SA +2.6% YoY, released 07 14 2026 W13 W14 .

Data notes & limitations

Market data: daily closes through 2026-08-10 Monday for $SPY, $QQQ, $IWM, $XLE, $XLK; technicals, market structure and the signal register computed from that window M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M7 M8 . Values independently re-verified on both the Jul 1 and May 1 start windows V1 . Data-QA pass: freshness 36.3h not stale , liquidity pass at $37.1B average daily dollar volume M6 .
Premarket state: captured via recorded news headline evidence 12:21 UTC ; no live futures prints were captured this run W1 W3 W9 W17 .
Scope: index ETF technical focus; no issuer-level fundamentals or earnings items were pulled this run.
Operational context: no active incidents and no enabled alarm rules at composition time O1 O2 .

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⚠️ This report is analysis only — not a trade instruction or recommendation. All investment decisions require human portfolio manager approval. Data vintage: daily closes through 2026-08-10; premarket headline evidence captured 2026-08-11.

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Report details

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Field Value ------- ------- Loop Daily premarket research and report loop-aaca4a8f-86da-4e19-9ef8-be8c7e4f6b68 Run looprun-be8d300b-c094-47c5-a7c3-c702e1677e0c Session Draft premarket report candidate loopsession-fdf23309-72fd-4d87-99ae-a43c7db92e85 Agent Stock Researcher Owner Research Lead evaluation pending Workspace ws-01 Status Report drafted — awaiting evaluation and publisher session Coverage tags psdtag-premarket, psdtag-daily Data window Daily closes through 2026-08-10; premarket headline evidence 2026-08-11 Operational status No active incidents; no enabled alarm rules O1 O2 Publication Pending service-authored publisher session after current-run evaluation

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