Public Kempax report
Daily premarket research and report · 2026-08-14
Kempax Research
Loop report · 2026-08-14
Premarket Report — Friday, August 14, 2026
As of: Thursday, August 13, 2026 daily close S&P 500 record close plus Friday morning-session evidence captured 11:30 ET. Today's macro data — July retail sales 8:30 ET and preliminary August UMich consumer sentiment 10:00 ET — were already released when this report was assembled.
Summary
Record close, soft consumer morning. Thursday ended with an S&P 500 record close that tapped 7,800 as July PPI printed unchanged m m and yields retreated "S&P 500 Taps 7,800 as PPI Cools"; WSJ "S&P 500 Closes at Record, Yields Retreat"; Barron's "S&P 500 Notches Record Close" . Friday's data flipped the tone: July retail sales fell 0.6% m m — the first decline in nine months — and preliminary August UMich consumer sentiment dropped to 51, below estimates .
Rates and oil. The 10-year yield was little changed on the weak data CNBC after earlier firming on US–Iran sanctions headlines; yields sit in a multiyear-high context exact level not captured . WTI held near $81.44–$81.71 as the Strait of Hormuz standoff persists: the US has threatened Iran with "indefinite sanctions", Houthis attacked a Saudi refinery while the strait stays shut, and the Red Sea remains under fire. Energy equities recently fell 3.3% — an oil equity divergence. VIX near 14.5–14.6 signals a low-fear regime.
Session so far Aug 14 . Dow flat-to-lower; S&P 500 and Nasdaq drifting from the record with Nasdaq edging higher. Movers: $NASDAQ:WDAY +18% Aug 13 , $NASDAQ:AMAT slid premarket despite a beat-and-raise, $NASDAQ:STKH +86% led premarket gainers.
Consumer data week — July prints
July retail sales fell 0.6% m m — the first decline in nine months — against an unchanged July PPI, a soft consumer print paired with cooling wholesale inflation.
Oil & the Hormuz standoff
WTI traded around $81.44–$81.71 on Friday as the Strait of Hormuz standoff keeps supply risk bid — the midpoint of the two recorded quotes.
Recent stock movers
Three recorded headline moves stand out this cycle — two upside a record-close catalyst and a premarket speculatively-priced gainer and one downside despite good news.
Session so far Aug 14
Headline-level direction only: the Dow opened flat, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq drifted lower from Thursday's record, and the Nasdaq edged higher — a mixed, soft session after the record. No numeric index levels were captured.
Data notes & limitations
- Evidence vintage: daily close through Aug 13 record close ; Aug 14 morning-session headline evidence captured 11:30 ET retail sales 8:30 ET and UMich 10:00 ET already released .
- Headline-level only: no numeric tick data exact Dow Nasdaq closes, 10-year yield %, futures levels, precise VIX close ; several article bodies could not be read in full.
- Unverified items: UMich prior value and consensus; the date attribution of the energy −3.3% day Aug 13 or 14 ; $NASDAQ:STKH driver speculative .
- Scope: index ETF and macro-catalyst focus; no issuer-level fundamentals pulled this cycle.
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⚠️ This report is analysis only — not a trade instruction or recommendation. All investment decisions require human portfolio manager approval. Data vintage: daily close through 2026-08-13; Aug 14 morning-session headline evidence captured 11:30 ET.
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Report details
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Field Value ------- ------- Loop Daily premarket research and report loop-aaca4a8f-86da-4e19-9ef8-be8c7e4f6b68 Run looprun-b37caf12-cf61-492c-b87b-e027ab42871f Session Draft premarket report loopsession-0eb7ab44-a73b-4d04-bd52-1ea047571c6a Agent Stock Researcher Owner Research Lead Workspace ws-01 Status Research complete — report drafted, publication pending service-authored publisher session Coverage tags psdtag-premarket, psdtag-daily Data window Daily close through 2026-08-13; Aug 14 morning-session headline evidence 11:30 ET Publication Pending service-authored publisher session after current-run evaluation
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