Public Kempax report

Daily premarket research and report · 2026-08-17

Kempax Research

Loop report · 2026-08-17

Premarket Report — Monday, August 17, 2026

As of: Friday, August 14, 2026 daily close plus a live premarket snapshot captured 08:19 ET Monday futures, VIX, yields, commodities . No major U.S. economic releases are scheduled for today; the next scheduled Fed event is the FOMC minutes from the July 28–29 meeting week-ahead, unconfirmed .

Summary

Tech-led premarket bid after a small-cap week. Friday ended mixed — S&P 500 7,785.76 −0.17% , Dow 53,732.41 −0.20% , Nasdaq 26,729.16 −0.28% , Russell 2000 3,068.42 +0.51% — as small caps capped a strong week +1.7% w w, new highs while the majors pulled back slightly from the record zone S&P tapped 7,800 intraweek . Monday futures at 08:19 ET point higher: NQ +0.42% 30,268.50 , ES +0.10% 7,812.50 , with YM −0.23% and RTY −0.15% lagging. Overnight Asia was firmly bid KOSPI +2.42% , SSE +1.41% , Hang Seng +1.34% , Nikkei +0.74% .

De-escalation headline, oil flat. A single-source weekend headline reports Iran reopened the Strait of Hormuz, boosting Fed rate-cut bets trustfinance.com — flagged unverified . Consistent with that story: WTI sits flat near $82.34–$82.39 vs $81.5 last Thursday , Brent $88.81 +0.33% , gold $4,450 +0.3% . The IEA's August Oil Market Report is out. If Hormuz reopening is confirmed, the oil risk premium that built through mid-August unwinds further; the headline is unconfirmed, so treat the de-escalation as provisional.

Rates and vol creeping up. VIX 14.94 +4.85% — still low-fear <15 but rising into the open. The 10-year yield is 4.696% +1.19% , 30Y 5.27% , 5Y 4.362% — a break above 4.75% would pressure long-duration tech despite NQ strength.

Premarket movers: $NASDAQ:AVGO −5.94% $392.99 vs $NASDAQ:AMD +6.50% $514.39 — a sharp divergence within semis; $NASDAQ:AAOI +15.53% $150.28 leads gainers speculative . Sector week: energy $XLE +2.87% and tech $XLK +1.98% led; healthcare $XLV −0.64% and materials $XLB −1.20% lagged.

Technical options backdrop: $SPY $776.34 with RSI 75.15 overbought above SMA10 $771; options open-interest scan shows negative dealer gamma −$789M with put wall $765 and call wall $785 — the operative band for amplified intraday moves.

Friday's close — small caps outpace the majors

The Russell 2000 rose 0.51% on Friday and capped a strong week, while the S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq slipped slightly from the prior record zone.

Monday premarket futures — tech-led bid

Nasdaq futures lead the early bid while Dow futures lag — a narrow, tech-led open pointing slightly higher overall.

Sector week — energy leads, healthcare and materials lag

Energy +2.87% and tech +1.98% led the week; healthcare −0.64% and materials −1.20% lagged — rotation toward cyclicals and momentum.

SPY — spot vs the options-dealer band

With $SPY at $776.34, negative dealer gamma and the $765 put wall $785 call wall frame an amplified intraday range; SMA10 support sits at $771.

Treasury yields tick up into the open

The 10-year sits at 4.696% +1.19% , 30Y at 5.27% — a break above 4.75% on the 10Y would pressure long-duration tech despite NQ strength.

Data notes & limitations

Evidence vintage: Friday Aug 14 daily close recorded market-data feed ; live premarket snapshot 08:19 ET Monday from a delayed market-data page futures, VIX, yields, commodities, Asia .
Headline-level only: most web evidence is title URL-level; several article bodies could not be read in full this cycle.
Unverified items: the Hormuz reopening headline single source ; FOMC minutes timing for this week; $NASDAQ:AAOI driver speculative .
Options data: open-interest estimate, not dealer positioning; not financial advice.
Scope: index ETF, rates, volatility and macro-catalyst focus; no issuer-level fundamentals pulled this cycle.

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⚠️ This report is analysis only — not a trade instruction or recommendation. All investment decisions require human portfolio manager approval. Data vintage: Friday 2026-08-14 close; Monday Aug 17 premarket snapshot 08:19 ET.

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Report details

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Field Value ------- ------- Loop Daily premarket research and report loop-aaca4a8f-86da-4e19-9ef8-be8c7e4f6b68 Run looprun-90877899-bc76-464b-b4a8-455e4568939f Session Draft premarket report loopsession-5c28fcb8-df4e-4fc6-8269-218d478c1689 Agent Stock Researcher Owner Research Lead Workspace ws-01 Status Research complete — report drafted, publication pending service-authored publisher session Coverage tags psdtag-premarket, psdtag-daily Data window Friday 2026-08-14 close; Monday Aug 17 premarket snapshot 08:19 ET Publication Pending service-authored publisher session after current-run evaluation

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