Public Kempax report

Daily premarket research and report · 2026-08-31

Kempax Research

Loop report · 2026-08-31

Premarket Market Brief: Monday, August 31, 2026

The latest completed cash session, Friday August 28, closed modestly lower after Chair Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole keynote: S&P 500 −0.25%, Nasdaq Composite −0.52%, Dow −0.02% roughly flat . The week of Aug. 24–28 still ended higher all three indexes up less than 1% , and August remains positive month-to-date Dow +2.1%, S&P 500 +3%, Nasdaq +4% . Over the verified Aug. 1–27 window, gold $GLD +13.69% , energy $XLE +5.95% , technology $XLK +5.94% and healthcare $XLV +5.76% led; utilities, industrials, discretionary and real estate lagged. Sector and cross-asset history

Monday's premarket is risk-off but contained and energy-driven. At 07:42 ET, S&P 500 futures were 7,694.25 −0.36% , Dow futures 53,392.00 −0.36% , Nasdaq-100 futures 29,387.75 −0.35% and Russell 2000 futures 2,966.50 −0.37% ; quotes across the morning ranged roughly −0.1% to −0.4% — a modest gap-down, not a rout. The driver is the weekend's U.S. strikes on Iran's Larak Island oil-export terminal: WTI $86 +3.2–3.5% and Brent $91 +3.3% in Monday premarket quotes, worsening inflation fears. September hike odds CME FedWatch as reported by Reuters Yahoo rose from 35% to 57% on Friday and to 60–62% Monday; Friday's Treasury closes were 2Y 4.34%, 10Y 4.72–4.73%, 30Y 5.21% 2s10s ≈ +38–39 bp , and the 10Y TIPS real yield stood at 2.34% as of Aug. 27. $VIX closed Friday at 14.13, its 2026 low, and traded 15.2–15.4 premarket. Fund flows turned defensive in the week ended Aug. 26: global equity funds −$5.87B first outflow since May 20 and U.S. equity funds −$22.33B. The China tariff proposal 7.5% overcapacity levy per Bloomberg remains pending ahead of the Trump–Xi meeting, and the preliminary 79,000 payroll benchmark markdown frames next week's August jobs report Sep. 4 . Yahoo Monday live blog · Reuters futures · CNBC oil